Pre-Match Manager Scores
What the signal looks like in practice. Manager names are anonymised — the data product delivers named managers with match metadata. These examples show output format, signal range, and how confidence scores relate to match outcomes.
Illustrative sample — not a tipping service. For validation dataset access and methodology details: request a data briefing →
Signal performance — backtesting dataset
312 press conferences, Premier League and Championship, 2023/24–2024/25. Directional accuracy only — not calibrated win probability.
Directional accuracy on high-confidence signals (Net ≥ 0.35)
Win rate when Net Confidence below −0.10 (vs 48% baseline)
Of low-confidence games diverge from bookmaker implied probability
Caveat: These figures are from an early-stage backtesting dataset. Statistical significance has not been established at publishable confidence levels. This is a live research hypothesis. Partnership pricing is set when the signal proves out — not before. The data briefing is free.
Want to stress-test the methodology?
We give early partners access to the raw backtesting dataset. Run your own analysis. If the signal doesn't hold up, you've lost 30 minutes. If it does, you're early.